Elon Musk, Tesla CEO and founder of Tesla Motors stated that he was confident level 5 (self-driving cars) or almost complete autonomy would happen. He made the remarks in a July 9 video message to attendees at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference. I am confident we’ll have basic functionality to enable level 5 autonomy this year.
Musk claimed that Tesla can achieve level 5 autonomy. Autonomy at level 5 means that cars are able to drive themselves without the assistance of anyone. Level 5 autonomy means that vehicles can drive in any situation without the assistance of anyone. It sounds amazing!
His claim generated considerable controversy, as is the norm in Elon’s world. Experts in robotics and AI say it’s not easy to achieve level 5.
Who is correct–Elon Musk, or an army of experts independent from him? Are Elon Musk’s actions just a PR stunt to draw more attention to himself as an eccentric billionaire?
What does a psychologist have to say?
Psychology and behavioral science both know that human minds are extremely sophisticated. It is difficult to achieve level 5 autonomy because human drivers are able to use their intuition in new situations and make quick, rational decisions.
The toddler is distracted and confused, running from her mother. Give space and slow down. “
“Sketchy-looking masked man pointing a gun behind. Get moving! __S.19__
These quick responses are even more useful than the novelty of it all. Because the computer inside our heads has given us the gift of intuition, we understand what the best action is.
The algorithms behind self-driving cars must be trained for all possible situations, including distracted toddlers. Autopilot has been known to crash into Tesla cars in unusual circumstances, such as overturned cars or other vehicles. If the situation is not pre-trained by Autopilot, the human brain does not have the ability to guide the car to take a quick decision.
The human brain, on the other side, has been trained by thousands of years worth of selective pressures through evolutionary change. Our computers may be impressive, but they are nothing compared to the amazing adaptive capabilities of the human brain.
Dr. Daniel Kahneman won the Nobel Prize in Economics for his research on decision-making and human judgement. He said that there were three methods by which humans can develop intuition.
Predictable. Environment must be predictable and well-organized so that individuals can apply past experiences to new situations.
You can practice. The ability to develop intuition at a fundamental level opens up opportunities to explore more situations and allows for the possibility to learn.
Give feedback. Individuals must know if they are right or wrong in order to practice effectively. Unambiguous, immediate feedback is the best for developing intuition.
Let’s take a look at each one individually.
Self-driving cars are not subject to predictability: The rules of the road can be predicted enough for people to have intuition and drive.
How about feedback and practice? Self-driving vehicles receive instant, unambiguous feedback in the same way that humans get when their car is involved in a crash. However it remains to be seen if self-driving automobiles will have sufficient practice in the right area to acquire human-like intuition. Although humans have the ability to draw on everyday experiences to develop intuition, such as from walking along the streets to eating at restaurants or playing sports recreationally, algorithms and self-driving vehicles are restricted to driving on roads.
Humans have more experiences than ever before to develop intuition and understand different situations. However, self-driving cars are restricted to one domain, driving.
Musk may be right to claim that Tesla has solved one of the most difficult technical problems ever encountered. It could come down to the fact that algorithms might have experienced the same experiences as people in daily life to learn how to become human.
Musk and Tesla are up for the challenge. We’ll just have to see. He’s my favorite candidate, even though I hate driving long distances.
Publiated at Sun, 1 Aug 2021 9:12:32 +0000