Home US Poll: Biden bolsters leads in 6 key battlegrounds

Poll: Biden bolsters leads in 6 key battlegrounds

Although the six states account for 101 of the 538 electoral votes available to the candidates on Election Day — a majority of at least 270 are needed to win — they are likely to play an outsized role in selecting the next president. Biden maintains a lead of at least 6 points in all of them, according to the polls:

• In Arizona, which Trump won by 4.1 percentage points in 2016, 48 percent of registered voters polled said they would vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 41 percent said they would vote for Trump — a lead of 7 percentage points for Biden.

• In Florida, which Trump won by 1.3 percentage points in 2016, 47 percent of those polled said they would vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 41 percent said they would vote for Trump — a lead of 6 percentage points for Biden.

• In Michigan, which Trump won by 0.3 percentage points in 2016, 47 percent of those polled said they would vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 36 percent said they would vote for Trump — a lead of 11 percentage points for Biden.

• In North Carolina, which Trump won by 3.8 percentage points in 2016, 49 percent of those polled said they would vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 40 percent said they would vote for Trump — a lead of 9 percentage points for Biden.

• In Pennsylvania, which Trump won by 1.2 percentage points in 2016, 50 percent of those polled said they would vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 40 percent said they would vote for Trump — a lead of 10 percentage points for Biden.

• In Wisconsin, which Trump won by 1 percentage point in 2016, 49 percent of those polled said they would vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 38 percent said they would vote for Trump — a lead of 11 percentage points for Biden.

The state polls Thursday come after a separate Times/Siena survey released Wednesday showed Biden with a lead of 14 percentage points nationally, with 50 percent of those polled reporting Biden as their preferred candidate and 36 percent favoring Trump.

Both Biden’s and Trump’s campaigns have been largely dismissive of public polling less than five months out from the general election.

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Biden has urged his supporters to keep their heads down and “Ignore the polls” ahead of November, as Democrats fear complacency among their voters could contribute to another upset victory by the president akin to the one he pulled off in 2016.

Trump, meanwhile, has savaged “phony” surveys showing him faltering in the race for the White House, arguing pollsters are again undervaluing his appeal among the “forgotten men and women” of America.

The Times/Siena state polls were conducted June 8-18, surveying 3,870 registered voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The margin of sampling error is plus-or-minus 4.1-4.6 percentage points for an individual state poll, and the margin of sampling error for the full battleground sample is plus-or-minus 1.8 percentage points.

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