Polling guru John Curtice exposes 'considerable challenge' with Brexit trade talks

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Sir John Curtice warned that Prime Minister Boris Johnson would have a challenging time coming to an agreement with the EU on a new trading relationship after Brexit. During an interview with Express.co.uk, Sir John explained this was because the UK and EU would be operating on a “fresh playing field” and few details were yet to be finalised. He added this was due to the Brexit sequencing the EU had set and Britain had agreed to. 

The political scientist said: “We start these rounds of talks on a fresh playing field.

“Very little of what has been decided so far has been settled.

“It makes a little bit of difference to immigration but not a great deal.

“So really what we are talking about is we are starting from scratch.”

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Polling guru John Curtice exposes 'considerable challenge' with Brexit trade talks

Polling guru John Curtice exposes hidden problem with next stage of Brexit talks (Image: Getty )

Polling guru John Curtice exposes 'considerable challenge' with Brexit trade talks

Sir John Curtice warned that Prime Minister Boris Johnson would have a challenging time coming to an agreement with the EU on a new trading relationship after Brexit (Image: Getty)

Sir John then argued the EU’s attitude towards Theresa May and Boris Johnson was part of the reason the post-Brexit talks were on a “fresh playing field.”

He continued: “You have to remember that the European Union rules in this game were that they were not willing to discuss the long-term relationship until Britain had left the European Union.

“That was a sequencing that the former Brexit secretary David Davis thought was wrong.

“But in the end, it is what the United Kingdom accepted.

Polling guru John Curtice exposes 'considerable challenge' with Brexit trade talks

Boris Johnson would struggle to agree a deal with the EU because over the years so few Brexit details had been finalised (Image: Getty)

“We are starting on a fresh field, if you think about it, it took us three years to sort out 15 percent of what we had to sort out.

“We now have 11 months to sort out the remaining 85 percent so you can see why it is such a considerable challenge.” 

Earlier in the interview, Sir John also explained how the EU would likely negotiate and what the bloc was most scared of.

Sir John claimed the EU was fearful the UK would “crash out” with no deal and still remain prosperous.

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Polling guru John Curtice exposes 'considerable challenge' with Brexit trade talks

Sir John claimed the EU was fearful the UK would “crash out” with no deal and still remain prosperous. (Image: Getty )

He said: “At the end of the day what the European Union would be concerned about on Brexit is the UK crashing out without a trade deal.

“The EU would not like the UK to crash out without a deal and not particularly suffer.

“They wouldn’t like Britain to manage to negotiate whatever difficulties that arise relatively successfully. 

“But they also don’t want the UK to leave the EU and still retain most of what they would regard as the advantages of membership.” 

Both the UK and EU have put down red lines for their hopes of a future relationship with negotiations expected to start next month. 


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